Crop Forecasts


Rooted in science and relying on facts, the California Almond industry sees great value in current, accurate and dependable statistics. The figures, reports and maps found on this page together help tell the story of California Almonds – from where the crop is grown, to how much is grown and where it is sold.

Not only that, the reports found here tell the story of the industry at various points of the year. For example, in the NASS Crop and Acreage Reports tab you’ll find the California Almond Forecast, also known as the Almond Subjective Forecast. Based on grower surveys, this report is issued annually in late spring and provides an early estimate of the coming crop. That report is followed annually by the California Almond Objective Measurement Report which is based on in-field measurements of the crop and provides a forecast later in the growing season, closer to harvest.  These forecasts can then be compared to actual production and trade statistics in the form of the Almond Board’s monthly position reports and tabulated annually in the Almond Almanac – both can be accessed on the Almond Board Crop Reports tab.

Wondering where almonds are grown? For a visual look, explore the Almond Industry Maps tab where you can access an interactive map that identifies California Almond orchards on a field-by-field basis as well as some interesting analyses of characteristics of those orchards. Visit the Almond Board Crop Reports tab for spatial acreage estimates and see the NASS Crop and Acreage Reports tab for official USDA statistics on how many acres of California farmland grow almonds, as well as analysis by county and almond variety.

Dig in to learn more about the California Almond community and how statistics from a variety of trusted sources work together to give a clear picture of the industry.


Position Report

Each month, the Almond Board of California publishes a position report, which contain the most recent almond trade statistics. Growers and industry members can reference these reports to understand the trends impacting the almond industry.  The reports follow the Almond Board?s crop year (August 1 to July 31) which aligns with the almond crop production cycle. August, the beginning of harvest, marks the beginning of each new crop year and the following July position report rounds out the final shipment numbers for each year.

Please note the scheduled release date for each monthly position report.


Almond Tree Fruit Weight Report

An Analysis of Everything the Almond Tree Grows: Kernels, Hulls and Shells


New at the conclusion of the 2015/16 crop year was an analysis of the full weight of almond tree fruit (kernel, hull and shell) that California almond orchards produced in that year. A supplement to the July 2016 position report, this report found that in addition to the 1.892 billion pounds of almonds produced by the industry last year, the almond trees (and the resources used to grow them) also produced 3.785 billion pounds of hulls and 1.325 billion pounds of shells.

Almond hulls and shells, along with the woody biomass of the trees themselves are also known as coproducts.  For decades the almond community has utilized these coproducts for nutritious cattle feed, livestock bedding, cogeneration and other value-added uses.

Recent changes in almond coproduct markets have led Almond Board of California to focus research investment on new, viable uses for almond hulls, shells and trees. The potential applications for these coproducts can not only bring value to the California Almond community, the local environment and contribute to zero waste, but address greater needs across industries such as food, pharmaceuticals and automotive.

Almond Almanac

Annual Report almonds

The Almond Board of California?s Almond Almanac is an annual year-end report that provides a glimpse into what makes up the California Almond growing and processing community.  Published on a crop-year basis (August 1 to July 31), the report provides a compilation of industry statistics, including production, shipment and consumption numbers as well as a look back at how those figures compare to prior years. It also provides a comprehensive overview of the Almond Board's programs. 

Below are past Almond Almanac's for historical reference:

NASS Crop and Acreage Reports

NASS Crop and Acreage ReportsUSDA?s National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS) produces crop forecasts and acreage reports for the California Almond industry which are released at noon on the dates noted in the calendar of events. Subjective reports provide early estimates of the coming crop after it is set. Objective reports highlight forecasts later in the growing season, close to harvest. These forecasts can then be compared to actual production and trade statistics in the form of Almond Board monthly position reports and tabulated annually in the Almond Almanac ? both which can be accessed on the Almond Board Crop Reports tab.

NASS also produces annual estimates of the California Almond industry?s acreage.  These reports are released each spring and detail the total almond growing acreage for the previous year as well as distribution by variety, county and year planted.

While the Almond Board has funded research that has yielded alternative findings about almond acreage, NASS?s almond acreage reports, subjective and objective crop forecasts and others are the official USDA estimates and will continue to serve as the official statistics for the industry.

Below is a listing of NASS almond-related reports for the past three years. Click here to access reports for previous years.

Acreage Report


Subjective Forecast


Objective Report


Nursery Report

Almond Industry Maps

Almond Industry MapsA Comprehensive, Living Map of California Almonds

Almond Board of California (ABC) has invested in a comprehensive mapping analysis to improve the precision, accuracy and transparency of information about the almond community. Understanding the impacts and opportunities of almond production is fundamental to responsible resource management, regulatory compliance and planning for the sustainable future of California agriculture.

The maps, developed in partnership with Land IQ, a Sacramento-based agricultural and environmental scientific research and consulting firm, constitute a comprehensive, living map of California Almonds that draws upon multiple sources of information and extensive validation to create a highly accurate, orchard-by-orchard view of the industry.

Click here to access the Almond Industry Maps.


Methodology, Findings and Implications

Land IQ draws on multiple lines of evidence including agronomic and remote sensing knowledge, unique field boundaries, robust on-the-ground verification, publicly available imagery and other spatial and non-spatial resources. Because Land IQ?s approach does not rely on surveys or extrapolation, the result is an accuracy of 96 percent or greater, more accurate than other methods.

Almond Industry Maps


In general, Land IQ data consistently indicates that California Almond acreage is between 5-9 percent higher than the annual USDA National Agricutlural Statistics Service (NASS) almond acreage reports, as seen in a comparative analysis of 2010, 2012 and 2014. However, this does not mean that the industry can expect a larger crop than is currently projected by NASS in the 2016 California Almond Objective Measurement Report. Rather, the historical difference indicates that the NASS production per acre (yield) statistic has consistently been an overestimate due to historic underestimation of industry acreage.



Almond Industry MapsLand IQ?s findings will be evaluated and used by NASS to fine-tune the official almond acreage surveys and other forecasts and reports, and serve as a complimentary almond industry resource. The NASS crop and acreage reports are the official USDA estimates and will continue to be the official statistics for the industry. ABC, NASS and Land IQ have begun conversations about how to work together in the future to ensure improved accuracy across industry reports and forecasts.

See the Almond Industry Maps factsheet to learn more about the map?s methodology, findings, applications and how it compares to official industry statistics. 

Need help accessing or navigating the maps?

Contact Land IQ?s support staff at or 916.265.6358.