Crop and Acreage Reports

NASS Crop and Acreage Reports

NASS CROP FORECASTS AND ACREAGE REPORTS

USDA’s National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS) produces crop forecasts and acreage reports for the California Almond industry which are released at noon on the dates noted in the calendar of events. Subjective reports provide early estimates of the coming crop after it is set. Objective reports highlight forecasts later in the growing season, close to harvest. These forecasts can then be compared to actual production and trade statistics in the form of Almond Board monthly position reports and tabulated annually in the Almond Almanac – both which can be accessed on the Almond Board Crop Reports tab.

NASS also produces annual estimates of the California Almond industry’s acreage.  These reports are released each spring and detail the total almond growing acreage for the previous year as well as distribution by variety, county and year planted.

While the Almond Board has funded research that has yielded alternative findings about almond acreage, NASS’s almond acreage reports, subjective and objective crop forecasts and others are the official USDA estimates and will continue to serve as the official statistics for the industry.

Below is a listing of NASS almond-related reports for the past three years. Click here to access reports for previous years.

Acreage Report

Subjective Forecast

Objective Report

Nursery Report

LAND IQ ACREAGE REPORTS

Almond Industry Maps

The Almond Board of California provides a comprehensive mapping analysis to improve the precision, accuracy and transparency of information about the almond industry. Understanding the impacts and opportunities of almond production is fundamental to responsible resource management, regulatory compliance and planning for the sustainable future of California agriculture. Mapping products are developed in partnership with Land IQ, a Sacramento-based agricultural and environmental scientific research and consulting firm. The maps constitute a comprehensive, living map of California Almonds that draws upon multiple sources of information and extensive validation to create a highly accurate, orchard-by-orchard view of the industry.

Click here to access the Almond Industry Maps.

Spatial Acreage Estimates

Behind the maps is a robust data set. The 2018 Standing Acreage Initial Estimate includes estimated almond acres, bearing and non-bearing, by county and by year planted from 1984 through 2016. It is based on standing acreage in 2018 and is also reflected in the 2016 almond acreage map layer. Bearing acreages have all been verified via ground truthing and/or spatial approaches.1 Non-bearing acreages represent, 2017 and 2018 plantings. All non-bearing acreages should be considered as estimates at this time and will be finalized following completion of the 2020 mapping.

Findings from the spatial map are being used by USDA National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS) to fine-tune the official almond acreage reports and other forecasts and reports, and serve as a complementary almond industry resource. The NASS crop and acreage reports are the official USDA estimates and will continue to be the official statistics for the almond industry.

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1Bearing acreage estimates are 98.8% accurate spatially and even more accurate numerically.